AFSA warns: Energy transition disputes threaten South Africa's renewable bankability - JAW 2026
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Amid South Africa’s accelerating shift from coal to renewables, the Arbitration Foundation of Southern Africa (AFSA) highlights a notable uptick in arbitrations in the energy sector.
“During May this year AFSA’s Johannesburg Arbitration Week (JAW) 2026 will be the gathering place for energy players to strengthen their positions,” states AFSA CEO, Andile Nikani, noting that the conference will deliver actionable intelligence with sessions focused on "Bankability and enforcement in cross-border energy projects" and "Energy transition disputes: Lessons from Africa and beyond", directly tackling the enforceability gaps that continue to undermine the bankability of African renewable energy deals.
“As the National Energy Regulator of South Africa continues to fast-track grid access and competition exemptions enable distressed industries to collectively procure power, cross-border independent power producers could face acute risks, including contractual uncertainty, government counterparty exposure and political volatility, all eroding project bankability and Just Energy Transition funding,” he adds.
With this year’s JAW theme being Arbitration In A Fragmented Global Order: The Future Of Trade, Investment And Sustainable Development, energy leaders can look forward to learning how well-drafted arbitration clauses can help safeguard investments, shielding power purchase agreements from delays and change-in-law claims.
“Case studies will reveal enforcement strategies that help mitigate political risk, strengthening the bankability of sovereign-linked assets, while attendees can look forward to receiving exclusive insights to position their projects as the "low-risk" choice for financiers navigating Africa’s evolving dispute resolution landscape,” Nikani highlights.
Investor-state tensions, exemplified by cases such as the Thabametsi Power Project, where climate policy obligations collided with fossil fuel investment protections, underscore the need for robust dispute resolution and enforcement mechanisms.
“Just Energy Transition Partnership funding and South Africa’s Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme’s bids benefit from predictable dispute resolution to attract capital and JAW 2026 will set out to provide answers to burning questions in this sector,” Nikani concludes.
JAW will take place from 5–7 May at the Sandton Convention Centre at the Sandton Convention Centre, in Johannesburg.
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